Friday, January 23, 2009

Here's hoping to a huge advance for Palin's book

QUICK NOTE: The headline on the OS cover is "Why Sarah Palin deserves a huge book advance." Please observe that no where do I argue she deserves a huge book advance. Despite her lacking any merit, I argue still why even so it would be a good thing for her to get a monstrous book advance.


Yesterday the LA Times reported that Sarah Palin has enlisted the help of a high profile attorney to broker a book deal for her. The astounding number accompanying the story is the rumor of her demand for an $11 million advance. Yes. Eleventy hundred thousand smackeroons for just the promise to sit down to work.

It seems a bit outrageous amount for someone who embarrassed her party, her state, and her campaign time and time again during three short months. I for one hope she gets the advance. In fact, I hope she gets a $20 million advance.

Why? It's all the expectations game. In many ways Palin got a free pass from voters and the media because expectations of her were so low in the first place.

A ridiculous multi-million dollar advance will only serve to hype her upcoming book to insane levels that the book won't possibly live up to.

Will her eventual book become a total flop? Probably not. I'm sure she'll sell a lot, but a publisher will have to sell way more than "a lot" to make up for an $11 million advance.

It's like a blockbuster movie that costs $200 million to make and only brings in $150 million. It's seen (rightfully) as a major disappointment. An indie made for $5 million that brings in $25 million is a big hit! Go figure.

Palin will stick around in national politics for a while. She might make a run for the White House in 2012. But fear not. She's not going anywhere. Many people who initially liked her in early September got turned off over the course of campaign. They're not likely to return to her ever. Palin has hit the high water mark and has no place to go except down.

So let's have her book help her on her irreversable decline in the court of public opinion. Give her the biggest advance of all time and then deliver an adequate book that doesn't bowl people over. We can get this unhealthy interest in her over with.

It's like the public at large is a kid who really likes Skittles. He eats them every chance he gets. Eventually, something turns. He's eaten so much he gets sick of them and never wants to see them again.

A better example might be tequila. You go through a tequila phase and then hit the wall. You don't want to see another bottle of tequila ever in your life. Hopefully the national post-Palin hangover won't be too bad.


Should I not want Sarah Palin, a person of questionable ethics and knowledge, to get rich?

Like it or not, she's going to have many avenues to make lots of money, book or no book. I'm not too worried about her getting rich, as her family seems to have a habit of burning through money the minute they get their hands on it.

Comments

HEY! WELCOME BACK!
the squirrel
This is an outrage! Not your post - ditto the "welcome back" - but the idea of a Palin book really pisses me off. As told to Tito the Writer, or what? This is right up there with salaries for teachers and basketball stars. Where are value and worth anymore?
Stacey Youdin
I hope Tina Fey gets the gig to play Sarah when they make the book into a movie.
Julie Delio
I wonder who the ghost writer will be...
Traigus
Good to see you back, Derek.

Once she gets that advance, it will be real hard to pull off that soccer mom image.
SFine really
I do hope you are right.
Publishing firms seem to be easily overawed by celebrities. I recall that one paid 8 million to Hillary and got burned over the deal. No way can one book gross that much, but they were hoping it would help them make money on their other titles. Somehow.
We should have a contest to see who could be her ghostwriter. Readers Digest format.
o'stephanie
"A ridiculous multi-million dollar advance will only serve to hype her upcoming book to insane levels that the book won't possibly live up to."

Depends on who the ghostwriter is, probably. Because that woman is not going to be writing one damned word.
Verbal Remedy AKA Denise
hey skeptic - good to see you back. I can see your point, but do we really want any publishers to have incentive to see her "lipshtick" face all over creation?

I really just want her to go away. And stay away.
lpsrocks
Hi Turtle,

I think people are underestimating the group who purchase Ann Coulter books and Bill O'Reilly books and who will undoubtedly purchase lipstick pig book. It is big. This book should do well. My $ won't go in her pocket, but she has a following. I feel stupider just thinking about it.
Annimal
I look forward to seeing this tome on the remainder table.
CoyoteOldStyle
And it's good to see you again!
CoyoteOldStyle
Skeptic,
There is definitely a market for her book. When I was canvassing for Obama in southwestern Virginia, I found many women, all in their 40s, who made a point that they were voting for "Sarah"--not McCain. She will need a very talented ghost writer. You can contrast Palin with Obama who wrote both of his books.

I always thought an advance was that--an advance against royalties. So, if her book doesn't sell, she may have to give some of the money back. I guess that's why she's getting a lawyer.
Joan K
Where have you been?! Hell yes, give her the book deal. The more she is in the public eye the better. She is a none stop laugh and gaff machine. I love her! She's the best thing that has happened to the Democratic Party in years. Here's you candidate. Take a good look. Ain't she special? Yep, she's a peach all right. Little Miss do what I say not what I do. Great comeback post ST.
Michael Rodgers
I agree with you completely. Let her have a tremendous advance. Although I prefer that she stay off of the news, she manages to be her own worst enemy whenever she shows up. Also all the going to her is money not going to more capable Republicans. And they are all more capable.
Bill Beck
I'll settle for her getting a fivemillion dollar advance. That's outrageous enough to build a buzz she won't be able to live up to. And then I hope the book bellyflops, and after the clothing issue last year, I hope the RNC sues her for every nickel she spent on her kids and husband.
Shiral
Come on Skeptic ...grandmama says she needs a new moose rifle ,
and a pair of the newest Skidoo's and some mink lined snow boots
( with matching undies ) , among other things .
tr ig
WELCOME BACK! First and foremost...

"sit down to work" - I guess it beats her usual lying down...(In my best Bill Maher voice, "I kid the Governor.")

That's stupefying. Stephen King, John Grisham, hell Bill Clinton didn't get that much I don't believe. It's just ridiculous. I personally hope the Publisher loses their ass on this one. But all the people who buy Ann Coulter's swill, or Bill O, or Rush Limpdog will line up in droves...A great Tuesday to avoid the bookstores...
(rated)
Greg
V for Vendetta
Yay! You're back! Unfortunately so is Sarah Palin. Now she's someone I'd like to see stay gone.
Lisa Kern
As I remarked to Liz and Sandra at our little Inaugural get-together on Sunday - she sticks around in a Monica Lewinsky kinda way - I said that she'd be designing purses next, but Liz said glasses. I really think few will take her seriously ever again. All those millions could be better spent by the publisher on several, more worthwhile projects.

A big welcome back. You were missed!
Cherie Siebert 'artsfish'
Um. Sorry. I must respectfully disagree. Far too many of my friends have gotten book advances that barely covered a couple months' salary, and they have talent. Yada yada yada.
I'm so fucking sick of opportunists in this country and the stupid large book publishers who hand out multi-million dollar advances to assholes and then have no money for people who actually know how to write.
Wow. I don't sound bitter or anything do I?
fingerlakeswanderer
Rumor has it that the studio that made "The Dark Knight" is offering her the follow-up to the late Heath Ledger's role as "The Joker". No make-up needed.
V for Vendetta
An $11 million advance followed by a sales flop would be a good thing for writers everywhere. Maybe then major publishers would realize that they could give $100k to 44 witers interested in long-term writing careers and make better profits in the (dare I say it) long run.
Thomas Sullivan
I've heard from secret sources that the title is going to be:
PALINDROME: Forward or Backward, it's all the same.
Thomas Sullivan
And there is always a PLAYBOY interview or a foldout waiting in the wings. Not really, she would never do that to her family. Hugh is beginning to like more mature women. Time will tell.
Texas Bubba
Thanks all for the welcomes!

I know I'm being flippant in this post, but yes, the idea of Palin getting anything, much less millions of dollars does sicken me. Let's "make lemons into lemonade" or some stupid shit like that and look on the bright side though.

It'd be great if she could disappear from the limelight tomorrow. Not realistic. But the book provides a vehicle for the public and the media to see that she's been overexposed and no one wants to hear from her anymore.

And I'll repeat myself. I don't doubt a book by her (presumably ghost written) will sell well and get lots of exposure. She still has millions of people who "admire" her some reason. Will the book's aggressive sales meet it's over-the-type expectations fueled in party by an outrageous multi-million dollar advance? I'm thinking not.

Palin's 15 minutes aren't up yet. But mark my words, they'll be up eventually.
Skeptic Turtle
The notion that Palin could "write" a book is absurd. She may have read only one book in her life. She is a prodigious liar, unable to distinguish even autobiographical fact from self promoting fiction.
Frank Smith
Wow, yeah. It is great to have you back. I've always enjoyed reading what you have to say. Particularly because you tend to bring things up in a way I never considered.

My hope with this potential book is that it will give lots for people to gather from when she tries this crap again. In my eyes, she's not done much of anything of real worth so you know the book will end up being a galvanizing point for the core reactionary right-wing. I don't think there will be anything of political note though so no damage done.
katina choovanski
The publishing world is struggling, wonderful writers can't get published -- and Sarah Palin gets a book deal?????
Faith Paulsen
Butt of late night television jokes... 15 minutes of fame... defeated in presidential election... $11 Million... a book about why I'm from Wasilla...

What a great country!
gmgaston
Yes...but will she READ it?
Michele Bernstein
Excellent! Nice to read an honest appraisal of a mediocre female who has delusions of being the first "woman" President. She IS annoying, and if she continues to be, like you say, that's great! Her chances for 2012 slide deeper and deeper into the septic tank. Better she stay home and try to raise her family, although it seems too late to salvage them. Way to go!
Barb Paris
I still am in awe of the tremendous clusterf**k surrounding her as if she were the returning Messiah. Does anyone remember the cartoon Garfield where the natives were bowing down to a car as a deity and chanting, 'chrome, chrome?'
sallyanne97
Well, I've got the title for this masterpiece:

SARAH PALIN: SHIT FLOATS

As I've said here many times before, there's a hundred really talented writers on OS that can't get published, but hacks like Anne Coulter and Jerome Corsi do - and now Palin, who like bush doesn't read let alone write, is gonna get $11 million for drivel coughed up by a ghostwriter?

And they dare to call me a whore for publishing myself?

Am I angry, you get your ass, this is EXACTLY what's wrong with Free-Market Fucking Economics!
Tom Cordle
Unfortunately, the Palin nomination was a sign of how degraded our politics have become. McCain's judgment clearly came into question when he made this pick with so little competent vetting. Too many Americans have become uncritical celebrity worshippers who apparently didn't notice that this individual is simply not qualified to be president. She was elected in Alaska by a very small number of people. Her ignorance and inarticulateness is frightening. The sooner she disappears from the national scene the better for our country.
Julia Bondanella
I'd read it just for the quotes to be dispersed around town. You can't edit socially accepted mornonism.
Excellent post, man. Rated.
Prophet of the Sam
If you read my blog, you will see that this is not a surprise, as the highest probablity for Republican nominee for, and depending on what happens, quite possibly President in 2012, is Sarah Palin. It sounds odd I know, and my views are certainly unpopular here, but logic tells me that she wins in 2012, and a book that is different than what people expect is a good start.
In the end, what will happen is that she will be savagely attacked in the press of the Left, who will not actually read the book really when they review it (my experience with the George Tenet CIA book wass instructive here, as I read it thinking that he was going to be very critical of the Vice President, because that is what the reviewers said, when in fact he merely put the Vice President at the center of things, and warned of the DIA and other bureaucratic obfuscations/ac actions), and then those who are inclined to like her anyway will want to read the book that much more, and there are really very few alternatives to Palin in the party in terms of name recogntion already, and a book that actually has anything to say exceeds low expectations, which is a law of power, Always Seem Dumber than You Mark.
Don Rich
If I never see or hear about her again it'll be too much soon for me [Marlon Brando: "On The Waterfront"]. And the very idea that SHE will write a book? Spare me. Can we say 'Ghostwriter?' Can we say 'Illiterate Ghostwriter?' That would be the only way she could make us think she wrote it. Go away, Sarah. You're done!
jfernrn
"As told to Ann Coulter"
coogansbluf
Maybe she and O.J. Simpson can get together and title the book: "The Truth, As I See It". [Subtitle: "There Are Killers Out There, And I Mean To Find Them".]
Debra Victoroff
Inuit wolf fat bonfire see many copies burn.
Barry Taft
"$11 million...Yes. Eleventy hundred thousand"

Even more obscene, it's really Eleven THOUSAND-thousand.
Doug Mitchell
cooganbluf: exactly what I was thinking.
emma peel
Never was tequila for me. I mean, I know my limit and I stick to it. Otherwise, I get really mean.

High school, when my drug of choice was marijuana. Had a cold. My cousin showed up with rum + coke (yuck) and cherry vodka. I opted for the cherry vodka, thought it might complement the cherry cough drops.

To this day, I can consume neither cherry cough drops or cherry Nyquil, much less cherry vodka. Bile threatens the base of my throat at the mere thought.

Kinda like what happens when I see, read or hear anything about the present Governor of the Great State of Alaska.
ConnieMack
Stock Tip: Sell your stock in whatever publishing house offers her any big money. She is a flamethrower and her "book" will burn out as fast as she did. The American public has made a loud statement by electing Obama, and some semi- literate (and I am being kind here) diva isn't going to have much to say that is worth buying.
xoddo oddox
Let's hope that Palin becomes a talk show host, preferrably as a sportscaster, the gig she wanted after graduating with a journalism degree. (Apparently there was no prerequisite that she had to read newspapers in order to graduate.) As a sportcaster she would make really good money, maybe even O J Simpson kind of money, and would no longer be interested in the life of a politician and it's low- end salary. Then, since I am not interested in sports, I will never have to see her again, nor will I worry about that ever-ever-so-slim possibility of her actually being elected to national office.
C Salty
I keep remembering that Jim Baen paid Newt Gingrich $4.5 million for his alternate history novel 1945.

Um - maybe Palin could also write an alternate history - one where a plucky VP shoots Putin down as he flies over her house in Wasilla...? >:)
Timothy Liebe
Palin reminds me of the occasional, self-righteous mom who gets herself elected president of the elementary school PTA, and then proceeds to make life miserable for the teachers and administration.

She has no substance and has shown very little critical thinking ability.
pat Nave
I actually commented on just this issue earlier.... this AND Joe the Plumber's memoir (not to mention his "journalism" career) when it was rumored Palin was getting 7 million for her memoir. As a real writer, ie., one who actually writes her own stuff, and who got considerably less for her book published last year, this is a real travesty. How on earth does any publishing company expect her to make this kind of advance back. There's no way in hell.....
And here are publishing companies laying off editors left and right, not to mention how hard it is for amazing writers of both fiction and nonfiction finding it harder and harder to scare up even 50,000 as an advance, which would be a godsend to most of us who write our hearts and souls out. I don't care if she had God herself as her ghostwriter there is not possible way she could make that kind of advance back. This is a travesty of the highest order and is on par with the Wall Street and banking bailouts. What is shows is that we really haven't woken up at all yet. This and those weird defenders of John Thain's decorating habits still don't get it. Money for nothing is still money for nothing.

I wish this kind of news didn't make me sick at my stomach but it still does--not out of jealousy but out of a grave sense of injustice.


This whole thing gets me down.

When the Republicans are giving Obama a hard time about his economy kickstart plan because it includes things they think are "pork" like school snacks programs and money for the refurbishment of the Washington Mall, idiots like Sarah Palin are making deals for not even writing their own books and becoming "celebrities" by some stupid crook of fate--and we are supposed to actually buy the fact that things in this country are actually going to change.

I wonder.
Lisa Solod
Sarah Palin's demented, halfwit, tribalist fans don't read.
Rob McMillin
I didn't realize how upset Palin makes people. She upsets me too, but I guess I find solace in my belief she will eventually be yesterday's news.

Maybe another time I'll post further why I don't think she has much of a chance in 2012. We'll have plenty of time for those discussions though. Frankly, if I was to give Palin career advice, I'd tell her to go the Mike Huckabee route. Be a personality who gets paid to give speeches and appear on Fox News. She has an audience and knows how to speak to them. She just doesn't know how to appeal to a broader set of (thinking) Americans. Palin can't win a national election (nor the nomination of her party). But I'm sure she could make lots of money on cable news programs.

Palin's oversized ambition is unlikely to allow her to be satisfied short of a run for national office. That's one thing we learned about her last fall. She has a high regard for her abilities that don't quite match up with reality. I mean, even for a politician.
Skeptic Turtle
It makes sense from a business point of view. At $20 a book, it will probably still sell a few million to trailer park moms alone. Part of the reason it's hard to get published is because celebrities could write books about trimming mustache's and get a book deal. "You know, when I was on Welcome Back Kotter, a lot of people asked me about personal grooming..."

Gabe Kaplan would get signed before me.
Snoreville Ledenrocker
I don't know about actual sums, but there is ZERO doubt that a Sarah Palin book will sell extremely well, even if it is filled with nothing but blank pages and pictures of moose dressing. Any publishing exec who refuses to sign her for at least as big an advance as Bill Clinton got for his immense tome will and should be fired.

I, by the way, loathe Sarah Palin and won't buy her book. So what.
RickyB
Well, if Ms. Palin were just a small minded Republican hack I would agree. However, she will enjoy the advantage of being a conservative Christian which opens up an unique marketing stream that most politicians do not enjoy. Scary as it may seem with this market she might out sell Obama.
Blair Zarubick
$11 MILLION? The woman really has a huge ego. I guess she figures it must be easy if a former community organizer now President can do it. Maybe Murdoch's book publisher may want to foot the bill. I wonder how many books the conservative think tanks will have to buy and give away for free in order to make it a best seller?
Phillyart
She...just...won't...go....away!
Beth Mann
I am trying to talk Davidjaku into interviewing to be her ghostwriter. She will need one as noted above.
o'stephanie
Hey Skeptic,

I agree with the spirit of your post. But that 11 million dollars burns right now at a time when people in the publishing indusry are being laid off, senior editors are being told their career is over, and mid list writers who've worked their ass off in isolation for years are being cut adrift. So what if her book turns out to be better than expected? I still think she should get money she deserves (and my empathy for the misleading headline. I couldn't bring myself to click on this post all weekend, even though I knew it was probably meant ironically. )
Juliet Waters
As a recovering Republican (I bailed in 1992 after 20 years) I hope to see Sarah Palin in the news almost non stop from now until 2012. It's a long shot but I'm hoping that enough exposure of this no-nothing moron, who but for the grace of God would now hold the second highest office in the land, will inspire the few remaining sane Republicans to retake control of the party. Regardless of your party affiliation, you have to want at least two grown-up and responsible political parties vying for your vote.

Having said that, seeing her collect bushel baskets of money in the process is pretty galling.
Mandy Cat
Off topic comment: It is so nice to see you here! Thanks again for all the work you did on the avatar collection.

On topic comment: You are right that getting plenty of exposure is likely to show Palin for what she is. On the other hand, I'm not sure it would do any good. Bush the Second was pretty much right up there for all to see and he was elected (once).
Susan Mitchell
Welcome back. I don't think giving her big money will change people's minds one way or the other. I say donate it to Save The Wolves.
Lea Lane
HE'S BACK! The Turtle is back! YAY!

::doing Snoopy dance in my living room::

AND a good post. :)
merwoman
For those of you with Palin withdrawal, here's something of hopeful amusement.

http://klogtheblog.blogspot.com/2009/01/beautiful-lie.html

Am I allowed to post links in comments? I guess I'll find out.
Dan Kilian
I totally agree with you. From the first moment I heard Palin's voice at the convention I was appalled and frightened. To me it was obvious that she was Bush with lipstick, a horrifying thought. If it wouldn't have been for Tina faye, Rachel Maddow and Keith Obierman I would have had a nervous breakdown during the campaign. The last eight years were devastating for me. I lived with such anger and disgust that at times I felt I was on a quest.

But, I have finally came to a place of peace and understanding. Actually I should have come to it much sooner if I would have trusted my own knowing and read the essay that I wrote in 1999 that is currently posted on my blog.

I've come to understand that if it weren't for the total destruction that was caused by not only the last eight years by Bush and his administration, but decades of abuse that have been going on for generations, then the events and the outcome of the last election would never would have never been possible.

We are involved in a great paradigm shift that unfortunately only occurs through great adversity... So here we have it... billions of people from all around the world have come together in unison with a strong and powerful voice demanding, cheering, celebrating and being the change.

Susan Randazzo
Susan Randazzo